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pfwa.fun (updated)

PFWA is a permissionless prediction market protocol on Robinhood Chain. If an outcome has public data (crypto, stocks, sports or weather), anyone can create and trade a market on it.

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説明

PFWA is a permissionless prediction market protocol built on Robinhood Chain.

The idea is simple: if an outcome has a public data source, it can be a market. Each PFWA market is a smart contract paired with the data source that resolves it, so anyone can create one, no operator curates or approves it, and no one decides the result by hand.

We launched on July 31, 2026 with crypto, and in just over 60 days 170 markets have been created onchain, with new features shipping every week in production. Today PFWA connects to six kinds of data: token prices, market caps and volumes (GeckoTerminal), how far a token falls from its opening price, token-vs-token races, real-world assets like tokenized stocks, gold and treasuries (Prism and TouchGrass), onchain protocol TVL and fees (DefiLlama), and trader PnL (fomo.family). Crypto was the starting point. Sports and weather are next: match results, scores and player stats, and temperature, rainfall and storm outcomes, each plugged in as another data source on the same contracts.

Trust is built into the protocol. Each market's rules are signed by its creator and fingerprinted into the onchain market name, so they can't be changed after creation. Every market shows its creator's Ethos credibility score, and a sybil detector keeps referral rewards fair. The PFWA market contracts are public and verified on Blockscout and Sourcify.

Trading is simple: pay with ETH or USDG stablecoins, take payouts in ETH or $PFWA, and on smart wallets buy in a single signature with batched calls. An open agents API lets AI agents and other apps list markets, get quotes and trade.

Built during the Buildathon: in the last two weeks we shipped three new market types: Dump markets on how far a token falls, Onchain markets on protocol TVL and fees via DefiLlama, and tokenized-stock RWA markets via GeckoTerminal. We added USDG stablecoin payments through 0x, one-signature buys on smart wallets using EIP-5792 batched calls, $PFWA payouts, and a step-by-step transaction flow that recovers safely if a step fails. We made markets more trustworthy with onchain-pinned market rules, Ethos scores on every market and sybil-resistant referrals. We fixed odds, prices and charts, hardened admin security, and cut RPC load about 10x. Next up: sports and weather data sources and market-making agents.

ハッカソンの進行状況

During the hackathon we added three new market types. Dump markets let traders bet on how far a token falls from its opening price, with ranges from under 50% to 90%+ or a simple yes/no, resolved from hourly closing prices so a single wick can't decide the outcome. Onchain markets bring in DefiLlama as a new data source, covering a protocol's TVL or daily fees on Robinhood Chain. A second real-world-asset source, TouchGrass, sits alongside Prism and covers tokenized stock vault balances for NVDA, TSLA, AAPL, GOOGL, META, MSFT, AMZN and GME. On payments and trading, users can now pay with USDG stablecoins, swapped to ETH through 0x and bought in the same flow, and take sell and claim payouts in $PFWA. On smart wallets, approve, swap and buy happen in a single signature using EIP-5792 batched calls; other wallets approve once and skip it after that. A step-by-step transaction modal guides multi-step orders, and if a later step fails it shows where the funds are and offers a retry. For trust and fairness, every market page now shows the creator's Ethos credibility score, and protocol-run markets are labelled "by PFWA". Each market's rules are signed by its creator and fingerprinted into the onchain market name, so they can't be swapped after creation. A sybil detector runs every 6 hours, checking whether referrals are linked onchain to their referrer through direct transfers, a shared funding wallet or coordinated buys; linked referrals earn no XP, and past leaderboard weeks were corrected. We also fixed and hardened the core. Odds now reflect each outcome's share of the ETH pooled rather than token supply. Prices come from the pool that actually trades. Charts show the price after each trade, with 495 past trades backfilled. The resolver only acts on confirmed decisions for markets with creator-signed rules. Admin data now needs a signed request, a replayable signature was fixed, and server reads moved to a private RPC URL. RPC load per market-list refresh dropped about 10x, from 32 calls to 3. Log searches were split to fit the RPC's 10M-block limit, and explorer links now point to Robinhood Chain's Blockscout.

資金調達の状況

PFWA is currently self-funded. We are exploring strategic funding and ecosystem partnerships to accelerate protocol development, liquidity, user acquisition and expansion across the Arbitrum ecosystem.
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MMiracle Otugo
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