Pred2Moon

## What it does

TuringMarket Lite is a swipe-based, mobile-first decentralized prediction market platform that turns crowd wisdom into tradable event derivatives. Users create or join markets on crypto events—like who'll win big from Monad's mainnet launch—betting with points earned through social actions (e.g., retweeting for 100 points) or collateral tokens. It blends AI-driven data aggregation with on-chain settlement, showing live probabilities, leaderboards, and ranks in a fun, Tinder-like interface. New users get 1000 points on login, and features like PredMoon groups let communities suggest markets, fostering viral engagement on X and Telegram.

## The problem it solves

Prediction markets unlock collective intelligence for forecasting events better than polls or experts, but existing ones like Polymarket are often clunky, desktop-bound, and lack social hooks—leading to low liquidity and accessibility in fast-moving crypto spaces. TuringMarket Lite solves this by making bets seamless and rewarding via mobile swipes, X integrations (retweets boost points/ranks), and AI-powered insights, democratizing event trading for casual users while providing accurate signals for traders on things like Monad launches or TOKEN2049 outcomes.

## Challenges I ran into

Balancing hybrid off-chain matching with on-chain atomic swaps was tricky—ensuring non-custodial settlement without delays during high-traffic events like Monad hype. X API rate limits complicated the retweet-to-points system, causing initial sync issues, and auditing the EIP-2535 diamonds took longer than expected to cover edge cases in conditional ERC1155 NFTs. Plus, early community adoption was slow until we tied in airdrop teases.

## Technologies I used

- Blockchain: Solidity for EIP-2535 diamond-standard smart contracts (TuringMarketApp for swaps, TokenUnlockerApp for DAO staking/voting), ERC1155 for conditional outcome NFTs, ERC20 for collateral.

- Frontend: React Native for the lite mobile app, with swipe gestures mimicking Tinder for market creation/betting.

- Integrations: X/Twitter API for social rewards, Telegram bots for group markets (e.g., Pred2Moon), EIP-712 for signed orders.

- AI/Backend: AI pipelines for event data collection and probability aggregation; hybrid off-chain matching engine for efficiency.

- Security: Audited by QuillAudits; reentrancy guards and pausability in contracts.

## How we built it

We kicked off with the smart contract foundation: designing the diamond proxy and facets for modularity and upgrades, implementing atomic swaps between prediction NFTs and collateral on testnets like Monad. Then, we layered in the hybrid model—off-chain services for order matching to keep gas low, settling on-chain for trustlessness. For the lite app, we prototyped the UI in React Native, adding swipe mechanics for quick Yes/No bets and a points ledger tied to X retweets via API hooks. Community input from Pred2Moon Telegram shaped features like rank walls and market suggestions. Finally, AI scripts scraped/analyzed event data for initial probabilities, with full audits before lite launch.

## What we learned

Social incentives like retweet points drive 10x engagement over pure token bets—liquidity follows virality. EIP-2535's upgradeability saved us from full redeploys during iterations, but diamonds demand rigorous storage slot management to avoid collisions. Early audits caught subtle reentrancy risks in swaps, reinforcing that security trumps speed in DeFi. Most importantly, tying predictions to hot narratives (e.g., Monad) accelerates mindshare, but sustaining it requires constant airdrop/DAO hooks to retain users beyond hype.

## What's next for TuringMarket Lite

Mainnet migration on Monad for 10k TPS scalability, rolling out full AI oracle integrations for automated resolutions and deeper insights (e.g., sentiment from X data). We'll expand swipe markets to non-crypto events like sports/elections, launch the $TUIT token with airdrops for top rankers, and add cross-chain support via bridges. Community DAOs will vote on new features, aiming for 1M users by EOY through TOKEN2049 collabs and viral X campaigns.